First, Poynter clarified that he was including surveys that lasted over 10 minutes, and he was not including social, which he believes will continue to use questionnaires. His reasons for this prediction are:
- “The decline in response rates means that most survey research is being conducted with an ever smaller proportion of the population, who are taking very large numbers of surveys (in many cases several per week). This raises a growing number of concerns that the research is going to become increasingly unrepresentative.”
- “There are a growing number of areas where researchers feel that survey responses are poor indicators of true feelings, beliefs, priorities, and intentions.”
- “There are a growing number of options that can, in some cases, provide information that is faster, better, cheaper – or some combination of all three. Examples of these options include: passive data, big data, neuro-stuff, biometrics, micro-surveys, text processing of open-ended questions and comments, communities, and social media monitoring.”
As further proof, Poynter referred to ESOMAR’s Global Market Research industry report: “The data show that surveys grew as a proportion of research from 2007 to 2010. From 2010 to 2013 there was indeed a drop in the proportion of all research spend that was devoted to surveys.” Poynter predicts that by 2019, surveys will account for only one-third of marketing research spend globally, and that the decline will continue.
Does this mean that businesses will stop using information for decision-making? No, of course not, but it does have some huge implications for marketing researchers and the marketing research industry. Surveys (using Poynter description of over 10 minutes in length) will become one of many research tools, not the tool-of-choice. Additionally, the surveys that are used will be vastly different from the surveys used in the recent past. Some of the changes that we are just beginning to see will be commonplace approaches and techniques. Gamification, prediction markets, shorter blast-surveys, in the moment research, eye-tracking, neuromarketing research, biometrics, behavioral economics – these (and many more) techniques will become commonplace, especially once mobile apps have been developed that allow these methods to be device-agnostic.
Mobile is the starting point. As mobile data collection increases dramatically, consumer response will require marketing researchers to produce data collection apps. And just as apps have taken over consumers’ interactions with the world, we can expect apps to have a similar huge impact on marketing research and our industry as well. The one-size-fits-all marketing research players will be forced to specialize, as they won’t be able to be expert in all the myriad available tools and techniques. Some marketing research companies will choose to develop apps; others will remain app-agnostic and use the best tool available at the time. And client-side researchers will have to carefully evaluate which apps and which marketing research providers deliver the best solution for any given project.
While apps will vastly simplify the respondent experience of data collection, they will make our industry much more complicated. But one thing is clear – apps will also ensure that marketing research will continue delivering important insights to businesses far into the future.
Mobile is the start of the apps evolution. Learn more here: Mobile Data Collection